Dalton Kincaid prop stats & projections
Buffalo Bills · TE · 2026 season game log, hit rates and matchup.
Week 10: @ New York Jets
Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
NYJ allows 62.1 receiving yards per game to TEs — 9th most of 32 defenses (a good matchup).
Dalton Kincaid player props
| Prop | Line | Last 5 | Last 10 | Home | Away | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yards | 41.5 PrizePicks | 80% | 60% | 42% | 70% | Open app → |
| Receptions | 3.5 PrizePicks | 60% | 60% | 42% | 43% | Open app → |
Hit rate = how often he went over this line.
Averages & splits
| G | Rec | Tgt | Rec Yds | Rec TD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 8 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 53.6 | 0.3 |
| Last season | 14 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 48.7 | 0.5 |
| Home | 11 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 60.5 | 0.6 |
| Away | 11 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 40.5 | 0.2 |
Game log
| Week | Opp | Rec | Tgt | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Snap % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W9 | @ MIN | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 50% |
| 2026 W8 | vs BAL | 4 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 57% |
| 2026 W6 | @ LV | 7 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 72% |
| 2026 W5 | @ LAR | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 70% |
| 2026 W4 | vs NE | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 59% |
| 2026 W3 | vs LAC | 2 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 67% |
| 2026 W2 | vs DET | 7 | 8 | 95 | 1 | 66% |
| 2026 W1 | @ HOU | 5 | 6 | 130 | 0 | 72% |
| 2025 W2 | @ DEN | 6 | 6 | 83 | 1 | — |
| 2025 W1 | @ JAX | 3 | 5 | 28 | 1 | — |
| 2025 W18 | vs NYJ | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 13% |
| 2025 W16 | @ CLE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 38% |
| 2025 W15 | @ NE | 3 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 36% |
| 2025 W14 | vs CIN | 4 | 5 | 41 | 1 | 34% |
| 2025 W10 | @ MIA | 2 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 26% |
| 2025 W9 | vs KC | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 | 35% |
| 2025 W8 | @ CAR | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 22% |
Every NFL prop, with hit rates and matchup splits
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