Darren Waller prop stats & projections
Carolina Panthers · TE · 2026 season game log, hit rates and matchup.
Week 10: @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
NO allows 65.1 receiving yards per game to TEs — 6th most of 32 defenses (a good matchup).
Darren Waller player props
| Prop | Line | Last 5 | Last 10 | Home | Away | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yards | 28.5 PrizePicks | 60% | 60% | 60% | 69% | Open app → |
| Rec Yards | 29.5 PrizePicks | 60% | 60% | 60% | 69% | Open app → |
| Receptions | 2.5 PrizePicks | 40% | 50% | 60% | 69% | Open app → |
Hit rate = how often he went over this line.
Averages & splits
| G | Rec | Tgt | Rec Yds | Rec TD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 8 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 37.4 | 0.5 |
| Last season | 8 | 3 | 4.3 | 35.4 | 0.8 |
| Home | 9 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 36.7 | 0.6 |
| Away | 7 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 36 | 0.7 |
Game log
| Week | Opp | Rec | Tgt | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Snap % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W9 | vs DEN | 8 | 10 | 90 | 1 | 53% |
| 2026 W8 | @ GB | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 62% |
| 2026 W7 | vs TB | 1 | 2 | 50 | 1 | 45% |
| 2026 W6 | @ PHI | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 46% |
| 2026 W4 | vs DET | 3 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 53% |
| 2026 W3 | @ CLE | 5 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 51% |
| 2026 W2 | @ ATL | 3 | 3 | 33 | 2 | 44% |
| 2026 W1 | vs CHI | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 35% |
| 2025 W17 | vs TB | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 38% |
| 2025 W16 | vs CIN | 3 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 49% |
| 2025 W15 | @ PIT | 7 | 8 | 66 | 2 | 54% |
| 2025 W14 | @ NYJ | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 37% |
| 2025 W13 | vs NO | 2 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 47% |
| 2025 W6 | vs LAC | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 66% |
| 2025 W5 | @ CAR | 5 | 5 | 78 | 1 | 58% |
| 2025 W4 | vs NYJ | 3 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 28% |
Every NFL prop, with hit rates and matchup splits
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