Dawson Knox prop stats & projections
Buffalo Bills · TE · 2026 season game log, hit rates and matchup.
Week 10: @ New York Jets
Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
NYJ allows 62.1 receiving yards per game to TEs — 9th most of 32 defenses (a good matchup).
Dawson Knox player props
| Prop | Line | Last 5 | Last 10 | Home | Away | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yards | 11.5 PrizePicks | 40% | 40% | 60% | 65% | Open app → |
| Rec Yards | 12.5 PrizePicks | 40% | 40% | 56% | 61% | Open app → |
| Receptions | 1.5 PrizePicks | 40% | 50% | 56% | 52% | Open app → |
Hit rate = how often he went over this line.
Averages & splits
| G | Rec | Tgt | Rec Yds | Rec TD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 8 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 0.1 |
| Last season | 18 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 26.6 | 0.2 |
| Home | 12 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 22 | 0.2 |
| Away | 14 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 21 | 0.2 |
Game log
| Week | Opp | Rec | Tgt | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Snap % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W9 | @ MIN | 4 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 72% |
| 2026 W8 | vs BAL | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 70% |
| 2026 W6 | @ LV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 2026 W5 | @ LAR | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 70% |
| 2026 W4 | vs NE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 61% |
| 2026 W3 | vs LAC | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 70% |
| 2026 W2 | vs DET | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 76% |
| 2026 W1 | @ HOU | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 67% |
| 2025 W2 | @ DEN | 3 | 5 | 32 | 0 | — |
| 2025 W1 | @ JAX | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | — |
| 2025 W18 | vs NYJ | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 5% |
| 2025 W17 | vs PHI | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 63% |
| 2025 W16 | @ CLE | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 68% |
| 2025 W15 | @ NE | 3 | 4 | 37 | 2 | 64% |
| 2025 W14 | vs CIN | 6 | 7 | 93 | 0 | 55% |
| 2025 W13 | @ PIT | 3 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 72% |
| 2025 W12 | @ HOU | 3 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 86% |
Every NFL prop, with hit rates and matchup splits
The Pick Em Party app has the full NFL Betting Lab — coverage splits, defense ranks and live lines.