Michael Penix Jr. prop stats & projections
Atlanta Falcons · QB · 2026 season game log, hit rates and matchup.
Week 10: vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
KC allows 220.5 passing yards per game to QBs — 26th most of 32 defenses (a tough matchup).
Michael Penix Jr. player props
| Prop | Line | Last 5 | Last 10 | Home | Away | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Completions | 20.5 PrizePicks | 80% | 80% | 73% | 80% | Open app → |
| Pass Yards | 220.5 PrizePicks | 40% | 50% | 55% | 50% | Open app → |
| Rush Yards | 6.5 PrizePicks | 60% | 50% | 40% | 33% | Open app → |
Hit rate = how often he went over this line.
Averages & splits
| G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 7 | 206.3 | 1.4 | — | 9.3 |
| Last season | 9 | 220.2 | 1 | — | 7.8 |
| Home | 8 | 234.5 | 1.5 | — | 12 |
| Away | 8 | 193.8 | 0.9 | — | 4.9 |
Game log
| Week | Opp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Snap % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W9 | vs CIN | 162 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 100% |
| 2026 W8 | @ TB | 125 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 100% |
| 2026 W7 | vs SF | 213 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 100% |
| 2026 W6 | vs CHI | 225 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 100% |
| 2026 W5 | vs BAL | 240 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 95% |
| 2026 W4 | @ NO | 223 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 100% |
| 2026 W3 | @ GB | 256 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 100% |
| 2025 W11 | vs CAR | 175 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 62% |
| 2025 W10 | @ IND | 177 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 100% |
| 2025 W9 | @ NE | 221 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 100% |
| 2025 W7 | @ SF | 241 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 100% |
| 2025 W6 | vs BUF | 250 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 100% |
| 2025 W4 | vs WSH | 313 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100% |
| 2025 W3 | @ CAR | 172 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 77% |
| 2025 W2 | @ MIN | 135 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 100% |
| 2025 W1 | vs TB | 298 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 100% |
Every NFL prop, with hit rates and matchup splits
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