Patrick Mahomes prop stats & projections
Kansas City Chiefs · QB · 2026 season game log, hit rates and matchup.
Week 10: @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
ATL allows 241.2 passing yards per game to QBs — 13th most of 32 defenses.
Patrick Mahomes player props
| Prop | Line | Last 5 | Last 10 | Home | Away | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Completions | 21.5 PrizePicks | 60% | 40% | 72% | 64% | Open app → |
| Pass Yards | 244.5 PrizePicks | 40% | 40% | 66% | 60% | Open app → |
| Rush Yards | 9.5 PrizePicks | 60% | 40% | 24% | 35% | Open app → |
Hit rate = how often he went over this line.
Averages & splits
| G | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 8 | 254.6 | 1.8 | — | 10.6 |
| Last season | 14 | 256.2 | 1.6 | — | 30.1 |
| Home | 12 | 256.7 | 1.8 | — | 27.4 |
| Away | 10 | 254.4 | 1.5 | — | 17.8 |
Game log
| Week | Opp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Snap % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W9 | vs NYJ | 242 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 94% |
| 2026 W8 | @ DEN | 321 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 100% |
| 2026 W7 | @ SEA | 165 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 100% |
| 2026 W6 | vs LAC | 272 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 100% |
| 2026 W4 | @ LV | 225 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 2026 W3 | @ MIA | 246 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 2026 W2 | vs IND | 382 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 100% |
| 2026 W1 | vs DEN | 184 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 100% |
| 2025 W15 | vs LAC | 189 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 92% |
| 2025 W14 | vs HOU | 160 | 0 | 3 | 59 | 100% |
| 2025 W13 | @ DAL | 261 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 100% |
| 2025 W12 | vs IND | 352 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 100% |
| 2025 W11 | @ DEN | 276 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100% |
| 2025 W9 | @ BUF | 250 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 100% |
| 2025 W8 | vs WSH | 299 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 100% |
| 2025 W7 | vs LV | 286 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 80% |
| 2025 W6 | vs DET | 257 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 100% |
Every NFL prop, with hit rates and matchup splits
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